DAILY FOREX REPORT FOR 11 JULY 2014

MARKET HEADLINES
 

Rupee trims initial gains against US dollar as Arun Jaitley presents budget
The rupee trimmed its initial gains against the American currency but was still trading up by 2 paise to 59.73 in late morning deals on bouts of dollar selling from exporters. Earlier, the rupee resumed higher at 59.63 per dollar as against the last closing level of 59.75 at the Interbank Foreign Exchange market. It pared the gains to trade at 59.73 per dollar in late morning deals. The local currency moved in a range
of 59.73 and 59.57 per dollar. In New York, the US Dollar reversed earlier gains against most major rivals, with the exception of the yen, in the wake of minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting that showed it would end its asset-purchasing programme in October. Meanwhile, the benchmark 30-share index Sensex was trading higher by 61.66 points, or 0.24 per cent, to 25,506.12 at 1030 hours.
 
Dollar weakens in Asia after US Federal minutes
The dollar eased in Asia Thursday as minutes from the Federal Reserve's June meeting suggested interest rates would stay low well into next year. Indonesia's rupiah rallied as several polls indicated the pro-business candidate is set to become the next president of Southeast Asia's biggest economy. In Tokyo afternoon trading, the greenback fetched 101.53 yen, down from 101.64 yen in New York late Wednesday. The euro bought $1.3645 and 138.54 yen, against $1.3642 and 138.66 yen. Minutes from Fed's June 17-18 policy meeting confirmed it plans to end its five- year-long, economy-boosting bond-buying scheme in October. The timetable was expected following a slew of strong data out of Washington in recent weeks, the latest being last month's better-than-forecast jobs report. The bank also said it expects not to hike interest rates for "a considerable time" after the stimulus programme ends. A
rise in interest rates would tend to lift demand for the dollar. "Market-wise, those positioned for a somewhat less dovish set of minutes...were disappointed and this may help explain market reactions" including a weaker dollar, National Bank Australia said. In China official data showed the nation's monthly trade surplus jumped 16.4 percent in June to $31.6 billion, as exports and imports both rose in the latest sign the Asian economic giant is getting back on track. Indonesia's rupiah gained against the greenback as most unofficial tallies showed pro-business Jakarta governor Joko Widodo ahead of ex-general Prabowo Subianto in a closely fought race to become the country's president. The dollar bought 11,522 rupiah Thursday, compared with 11,626 rupiah on Wednesday. Both candidates declared victory Wednesday in the tightest and most divisive presidential election since the downfall of dictator Suharto in 1998. However, polling agencies considered most reliable indicated a Widodo win, and the Jakarta benchmark index surged more than 2.5 percent at the open on Thursday. The rupiah had retreated in recent weeks as Prabowo gained ground against his investor-friendly rival.

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